JOHN HUGHES lectures on econom1cs and industrial relations at Ruskin College, Oxford. He has written extensively on steel nationalisation, including Plan for Steel Re-nationalisation (Fabian Research Series 198), and is on the editorial board of New Left R eview FABIAN TRACT 328 THE FABIAN SOCIETY 11 Dartmouth Street, London , S.W. I Note.-This pamphlet, like all publications of the FABIAN SOCIETY, represents not the collective view of the Society but only the view of the indiFidual who prepared it. The responsibility of the Society is limited to approving the publications which it issues as worthy of consideration within the Labour Movement. October, 1960 / ?#'? I. The I m pact of the Private -Secfo-;7 T T HE approach adopted in this study is a socialist one. The analysis and criticism of nationalised industries as they function today is a continuation of a line of ideas going back at any rate over the past fifty years within British socialist thought. I put in an appendix some extracts from guild socialist writers to illustrate the point. At the same time, running through all that is said and proposed about public industry is a critique of the organisation and behaviour of large scale capitalist industry. Current criticism of the system of capitalist industry in this country can be read elsewhere,1 and here I shall do no more than indicate the bare bones of what must be borne in mind. The critics' main targets are the distribution of economic wealth and power that emerges from such a system, the purchasing power priorities it gives rise to, and the values it inculcates. There is a two-fold criticism of the irresponsibility of the decision-takers: firstly, in the sense that they are not adequately accountable to the community (or even to the people most directly involved in their decisions) although largely determining its development and well-being (or lack of both); secondly, in the sense that many big-business decisions are directly harmful to the community. This is true particularly as to the timing, location, and content of investment programmes. It is even more true of pricing policies-'administered' prices-with sharp increases in profits per unit of output each time the economy moves towards full capacity. For some industries it is true of their neglect of the balance of payments effects of the policies pursued. For others it is true of their exploitation of massed capital resources to manufacture public opinion, a descent into the political arena using the techniques of non-rational suasion developed by the ad. men, in order to buttress their irresponsible power. Concern as to the operation of the nationalised industries in the mixed economy is therefore related to the impact upon them of the predominant capitalist sector. This study does not attempt to give an assessment of the achievements of publicly owned industries. It seeks primarily to explore a relationship, the connections between the nationalised sector and the 'private sector', together with the pressures exerted by governmental action primarily concerned with the strengthening and stabilising of a capitalist economy. ( We are not likely to understand the place of the [ nationalised industries in the mixed economy if attention is concentrated on their characteristics, as if they operated in a social and economic vacuum, or even as if relations with the state and capitalist business were marginal.) Th~elationship is found to be one of s.ubordina.tioH--to the short run needs and interests of capitalist industry. I attempt to explore the origins of ilils posttlon, and also its consequences for the nationalised industries, for instance the special problems of fin~ing that arise. Cf. Professor Titmuss's Fabian pamphlet, The Irresponsible Society, and my Tribune pamphlet, Socialism for the 1960s. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY It is not only the analysis of economic policy in the light of this relationship that needs undertaking. The socialist must necessarily be interested also in the institutional effects, the steady assimilation of the public corporation in type to large scale commercial concerns.1 We seem to have come full circle. Socialists thought of creating a challenge to capitalist industry, both in the democratisation of the internal operation of industry and in its external accountability; but increasingly, the nationalised indus ' tries are expected to behave as would a commercial concern, except in I I one respect which would strike at the interests of capitalist industry. At the same time a number of special problems of industrial relations are thrown up by nationalised industry. On the whole, socialist thought has been more effective in its cnttque than in its constructive proposals, perhaps inevitably since one cannot delineate the context within which future change in a socialist direction may become possible. However, I have attemped to explore an alternative role for the nationalised industries on the assumption that a socialist cannot accept either the predominance of capitalist firms and commercial criteria in the mixed economy, or the general subordination of public sector organisation and policy to the needs of their commanding heights. Suggestions for an alternative approach to the nationalised industries can only be fragmentary, since it is not possible to separate this question from that of the frontier of public ownership; nor is it possible to separate the question of nationalised industry policy from that of the extent and character of public controls over business behaviour in the private sector. For instance the Fleck report on the National Coal Board declared: 'There is nothing in the legislation which created the N.C.B. that prevents it beingmanaged in accordance with the best commercial practice. Nor is there anyconflict between a commercial approach on the Board's part and the Board'G being a good emp oyer' fp. /). We must, of course, expect from J.C.l. the philosophy of very big business. It is not that of socialists. but it is the point of departure for management in the nationalised industries today. The Herbert Report on Electricity Supply echoed the same ideas: 'It should be conducted as a commercial concern . . . . We could see nothing in the Act which required inoustry fo . . . conduct itself in such a way that it would have to face higher costs than a private business would face in similar circumstances' (p. 7). Again, in the British Transport Commission's Proposals for the Railways we read : 'Today the B.T.C. much more resembles in organisation, purpose and status a large-scale commercial corporation. The Government are satisfied that this kind of structure is the right one' (p. 4). The Conservative governmentwa , then. satisfied. but are socialists satisfied? Since Proposals for the Railways. the Government has become so uncertain whether the railways are sufficiently mirror-images of large-scale commercial undertakings that it has et up an Advisory Group. to look at the organisation. consisting of a director each from l.C.I.. Courtaulds and Tube Investments. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY 2. Subordinating the Public Sector: Pricing Policy T T HE origins of the special characteristics and problems of nationalised industry price, investment, and output policy, can be sought in two rather different spheres. On the one band they arise out of the confusion\ of thought within the Labour movement on the economic objectives to "' be pursued, particularly the accepted concept of 'public service'. On the other, they stem from a combination of short-run anti-inflationary, stabilisation emphasis in government determination of nationalised industry pricing policy (and investment), and equally short-term business views on what nationalised industry economic policies are appropriate for them. These latter pressures have coincided with the cruder views within the Labour movement on 'public service' pricing, to produce minimum break- even pricing. By this I mean prices that are the minimum compatible with any construction of the obligation imposed by the Acts at least to 'break even'. It is useful to look at each of these strands in turn, before going on to examine the economic sense, if any, and consequences of such an outcome. The confusion in the thinking of the Labour movement turns upon the equating of public service with current consumer satisfaction; this, in a situation where the economy remains predominantly capitalist and the main consumers of nationalised industry goods and services are none other than capitalist industry and commerce. The choice of the Morrisonian / 'business efficiency' and 'consumer service' model for the public corporation made this confusion of thought central to the organisation and policies of the nationalised industries. It should be said that when Morrison wrote Socialisation and Transport his attention was concentrated on the organisation of London passenger transport, and consequently the emphasis on consumer service did not directly raise the question of potential transfers of income to industrial and commercial users of nationalised industry goods and services. But the implications of such a yardstick in a predominantly capitalist economy do not seem to have been faced subsequently. Indeed, when that standard tome, Problems of Nationalised Industry, was published in 1952, its editor saw the 'conversion of nationalisation to socialisation' almost entirely (except for mentioning 'the principle of joint consultation') in terms which ?.. equate 'public interest' with the crudest view of short-run consumer interest : 'There will be, throughout the undertaking, full recognition of the consumer's right to the most ample service or supplies at the lowest possible price.' (p. 347) There was to be 'full recognition' of that, but apparently no recognition, in the context of our mixed economy, of the implications of such an attitude and such policies. These I examine subsequently. 4 NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY Again, to be fair to Morrison, in the views be originally developed on the public corporation be envisaged surplus earnings being used for capital development: 'The burden of interest is objectionable from the Socialist point of view; it is, therefore, desirable that the Board should not needlessly borrow for new capital expenditure'. (Socialisation and Transport, p. 278) But the subsequent emphasis has been one that denies that nationalised industries should make a surplus on their operations. Arthur Lewis was only putting forward orthodox views when he wrote in Problems of Nationalised Industry: 'The sort of price policy that a public corporation ought to follow can be stated simply . . . it should make neither a loss nor a profit after meeting all capital charges.' (p. 181)1 Yet it is hardly evident that a refusal to make surpluses is what distinguishes socialist from capitalist enterprise. The point is not difficult to make to a co-operator. It is the motivation of the organisation, and its use of tts surpluse~. which may more appropriately distinguish one from the other. The Break-Even Rule It should be emphasised that the Nationalisation Acts themselves did not prescribe the break-even rule, in the sense of requiring the nationalised industries to balance revenue and outgoings without a surplus. The general wording is that revenue should be 'not less than sufficient' to meet 'outgoings properly chargeable to revenue account, taking one year with another'.?' The restriction is on the accumulation of deficits, not of surpluses. Yet so overwhelming has been the emphasis on revenue equalling outgoings that even bodies such as the N.C.B.'s Advisory Committee on Organisation assumed this to be a requirement. For instance, they wrote: 'The Board cannot make a profit in the sense of building up a surplus from which to distribute dividends . . . . Given that the Board cannot make profits in the normally accepted sense, but must seek to balance their revenues and their outgoings ...' (Report, p. 7)8 Was 'break-even', then, the line of least resistance? Was it useful in begging the question of what should be the objectives and characteristics of economic policy for nationalised industries in a mixed economy? Political expediency played its part in whittling down the concept of public service to that of minimum current prices to consumers (even though. as will be seen, this involved higher future prices). D. N. Chester summed up neatly the attitudes that predominated during the passing of the Acts : 1 , It is interesting to note that one reason Lewis advances for this dictum is '~· that 'to do otherwise is to contribute to inflation or to deflation . .. any deficit is inflationary'. Lewis was thinking of inflation solely in demand-pull terms. By contrast, the Government-thinking in cost-push terms-held prices down and created deficits to offset inflationary pressure! On this, see subsequently. 2 There is one exception which enshrines the pure doctrine of break-even pricing. The requirement for the North of Scotland Hydro-Electric Board is that price determination should lead to revenues 'equal over a term of years' to expenditure on revenue account. s The Herbert Report does not make the same mistake: 'We can find no statutory prohibition against building up a surplus over the years'. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY 5 'During the discussion on the various Bills it emerged that everybody was ""' concerned with securing greater supplies at much lower prices-more and cheaper was clearly the slogan . .. .' (The Nationalised Industries, p. 66). But if one has to explain the elevation of break-even pricing to the StatiiSof a principle, the accepted norm of nationa tseaindustries' operation, it must be stressed too that it has coincided with the immediate interests of business, minimising the cost of inputs to companies, and also with the persistent emphasis of government intervention. Business attitudes are delineated in an amusing and instructive way by the F.B.I. pamphlet, Report on Nationalisation. With many of the long term consequences of break-even pricing becoming obvious even to the F.B.I., the pamphlet appears as if about to criticise: 'Failure to cover costs has to some degree been due either to a mistaken belief that the national interest is served by low prices of essential services irrespective of cost, or to insistence by the Government of the day on postponement of price increases' (p. 16). But still the F.B.I. cannot bring themselves to advocate surpluses-at the expense of member firms-nor even price increases to remove deficits: 'Prices should fully cover costs. This does not mean that past increases in nationalised industries' prices were all justified; still less that a further increase is now to be advocated' (p. 18). To write thus at a time when large deficits were being made by nationalised ( industries indicates well enough the main emphasis of business thinking on this subject; in this sphere it transpires that the F .B.I. does not believe in the profit motive! - Government Intervention in Pricing Governme inteC!::e_ntion in nationalised industry policies, particularly in pricing, has been dominated by short-run considerations. On occasion these ave been primarily, and sordidly, political. For instance, under the 'Gentleman's Agreement' on coal prices, the N.C.B. submitted to the Minister a proposal for price increases averaging 11 per cent to apply in March 1955. The Minister delayed these until after the general election and as a result the increases (which dated from 18th July, 1955) had to be considerably larger, in fact 18 per cenP But, in general, governmental pressures have stemmed largely from concern over inflation, and have been directed at diminishing the pressures of cost-push inflation.2 What government pricing policy has reflected is the following reality: the overnment exercises very little control over price-fixing in the private sector; the norma market situation is one of oligopoly or institutional - 1 Report of Select Committee on Nationalised Industries, HC 187-1, 1958, Appendix 3. 2 It is worthy of note that in the period 1955 to 1957 when the Treasury and the Cohen Committee (on Prices and Productivity) were assuring us our ills stemmed from demand inflation (i.e. from current effective demand exceeding supply at current prices), government intervention to hold down nationalised industry prices implied a diametrically opposed analysis. In holding down prices the government directly increased the 'demand gap', if there was one. Left hand, right hand? 6 NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY monopoly (e.g. Trade Association price fixing, and collusive 'price leadership'). Under such conditions, an increase in a basic industry's supply price would be used as a signal for an increase in prices throughout the economy (which might be disproportionately large). Nationalised industry prices would then be used as a fig-leaf to cover the increases in the private sector. These effects would be especially far-reaching when the economy was operating near full capacity, for, on each occasion the economy has moved , up to full capacity operatiOn (1950-51; 1954-55; 1959-60), there has been a sharp increase in profits per unit of output in the company sector.1 In the absence, not only of effective controls, but even of influence and persuasion over private sector pricing, the government has relied on Jf exerting disproportionate pressure on the nationalised industries in an 1effort to stabilise the price level. The admirable work of the Select Committee on Nationalised Industries has enabled us to see the way such interventio.JY has operated in the past, and the rationalisation offered for such actions."--t transpired that, although the government paid lip-service to the N.C.B.'s view that it should be able to build up some reserve fund, it never granted permission for any increases to make this possibfe>In the early 1950s, when British coal was some 25 per cent below Eur6'pean coal prices, the Minister refused even a modest increase to liquidate the accumulated deficit. When the Permanent Secretary of the Ministry of Power was questioned as to the government's evaluation of 'where the national interest should be deemed to lie in relation to such proposals'2' for price increases of coal, he said: 'What will be the effect on the steel industry, the Ministry of Agriculture and so on, on the Cost of Living Jr.jex . . . one also does take into account, from the point of view of timing, what is the Government's view of . . . inflation, and what steps the Government think are in the national interest to curb that.'a Among the matters he did not mention as influencing governmental decisions were the possibility of using the price mechanism to influence the efficiency of coal use (through most of the post-war period much inefficient coal burning apparatus was in use), and the financial consequences to the N.C.B. 1 Cf. article by Alexander and Hughes, Cartel, October 1959. 2 The wording is that of the Gentleman's Agreement, on which see HC 187-1, 1958. The implications of this arrangement for the idea of accountability are considered later. Under the arrangement, price increases desired by the N.C.B. are submitted to the Minister and subject to his determination in amount and timing. 3 Op. cit. Question 272. Later the Chairman of the Select Committee quoted to Sir John Maud a sentence from an N.C.B. memo: 'It is also the Board's view that it would not help to avoid inflation if production costs were financed out of borrowing instead of out of prices currently paid by the consumer'. Sir John's reply was, 'I would rather not express a view on that'. (Qu. 289-291). Curiously, also, the same Ministry in the same years supported the Iron and Steel Board in repeated steel price increases as an inducement to the denationalised industry to build additional capacity. Under this regime profits in steel, 1955 to 1957, advanced more rapidly than in any other major industry. Left hand, right hand? NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY 7 he most widespread and prolonged intervention to hold down nationalised industry prices, even where this led towards deficits, occurred in 1956/ 57) For instance, the Transport Commission, in February 1956, applied for an increase in freight charges. The Government cut the proposed yield in half, despite the fact that the Transport Tribunal supported the full application. It was understood that charges would be reconsidered about six months later. Before this period expired the Commission were / persuaded to forego any increase in charges until after the end of the year,1 The Financial Times commented: 'It is said to be an independent decision of the Commission. Independence is an ambiguous word. There is indirect pressure and there is direct pressure .... the Government has employed both.' Similarly, the electricity boards were asked in mid-1956 not to raise tariffs during the year. Select Committee questioning of the Chairman of the North of Scotland Hydro-Electric Board threw an interesting light on the process: (Mr. Johnston) 'Not only we but all the Boards . . . were all asked-I think the word "asked" is not too strong-to do all we could to stabilise tariffs for a peri'od of time . . . . ' (Sir James Hutcbinson) 'Has (the Secretary of State) a power to refuse you a rise in tariffs? I have not beard the answer?' (Mr. Jobnston) 'I do not know' .... (Mr. Ernest Davies) 'Are you free to fix your tariffs or do they have to be agreed with the responsible Minister?'-'I do not think we have to agree, ' but I think it would be very unwise of us to go in for a struggle with the Government in a matter of that kind.'2 The process, motives, and features of state intervention are not in any /' doubt. What are the effects of 'minimum break-even pricing'? The Consequences of Pricing Policy In unravelling the financial effects and the effects on distribution of income of the nationalised industries' price policies, a vivid illustration of the transfers involved may help. Many steel companies used to own collieries, to ensure that in times of boom coal would not only be avail-1 able to them at inflated prices; they did not want to be subjected themselves I1 to profit-taking. They were compensated for these pits (about £35 million). / However, subsequently they received coal at prices lower than cost of production (if allowance for replacement-cost depreciation is made); at the same time they were relieved of the need to provide additional capital to maintain and expand the capacity of 'their' pits. UJey are thus, economically, considerably better off than when they owned the pits. Nevertheless they were compensated for the 'loss' of these pits. Sale of this compensation stock was an important source of capital for the finance of 1 I follow here the account in the N. U.R.'s very useful pamphlet PlanninR Transport for You, pp. 42-43. The full evidence on this secured by the Select Committee on Nationalised Industries (Report on British Railways) is not yetpublished but their Report gives a similar account. 2 HC 304, 1957. Qu. 293-296. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY steel development,! The rate of profit on capital in the steel industry was 15 per cent p.a. before the 1958 I 59 recession, and some of this is earned in supplying steel products to the coal industry. The reader can work out for himself the 'reasonableness' of this combination of full compensation, minimum 'break-even' selling prices, and capitalist profit-taking. Replacing Assets from Revenue It is not merely that the nationalised industries have failed to secure out of revenue any contribution to net capital formation. Revenue has fallen far short of what was required even to cover depreciation on a replacement cost basis. The National Income Blue Book provides for pubiic corporations, as a sector, estimates of capital consumption (i.e. depreciation of capital assets estimated on a current replacement cost basis).2 Using these, it transpires that in the decade 1949-1958 the public corporations failed even to provide for capital consumption, and revenue fell £1,295 million short of what would have been needed to do so. Moreover, the deficits tended to grow. Between 1949 and 1953, revenue fell £491 million short of what was needed to provide for capital consumption; between 1954 and 1958 it fell short by £804 million. Only £115 million of the ten year total was financed by capital transfers, the rest (£1 ,180 million) had to oe financed by borrowing and represented, in a strict sense, so much dead- weight debt burdening these industries. In consequence, the public corporations not merely had to borrow to finance all their net capital formation and all their stockbuilding, but also two-fifths of their estimated capital consumption in the last decade. Of course, any estimate of depreciation is an arbitrary one, and this is as true of the National Income estimates of capital consumption as of any others. However, there is not much doubt as to the general magnitudes involved. What is even more instructive is to compare the overall financial position of the public corporations with that of the company sector. I attempt to indicate this comparison in the following Table which shows the position of the company sector and of the public corporations in 1949 (as a convenient year soon after nationalisation begins) and 1958. 1 See article on Finance of Investment in Steel in Steel Review, January 1957. Apart from this windfall the overwhelming bulk of steel investment since the war has been financed by the community either via prices and profit margins or via state (including Realisation Agency) loans at low interest rates. 2 All my data in this paragraph are taken from the Blue Book, National Income and Expenditure, 1959. Public corporations as a group incorporate some other bodies besides the nationalised industries, but the latter constitute the bulk of this sector. The method of estimating capital consumption, and the distinction between this and depreciation based on 'historical cost', is explained in detail on pa~es 76 to 78 of the Blue Book. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY PUBLIC CORPORATIONS AND COMPANY SECTOR : CURRENT INCOME AND INCOME AVAILABLE FOR CAPITAL CONSUMPTION AND NET CAPITAL FORMATION (£ MILLIONS) Company Sector Public Corporations 1949 1958 1949 1958 Total income 2,360 4,016 177 405 less(-) Dividend and Interest -{)10 -1,162 -86 -221 Taxes (and remit. abroad) -885 -1,180 -2 -16 Available Income 865 1,674 89 168 Provision for (-) Stock Appreciation -170 + 22 Nil + 5 Capital Consumption -300 -753 -176 -379 A. Surplus (+) or Deficit (-) +395 +943 87 -206 B. Net Domestic Capital Formation : Fixed 290 606 88 317 Stocks 49 -5 33 40 Finance available ( +) or required(-) after providing for investment (A-B) + 56 +342 -208 -563 Capital Transfers + 55 + 13 + 42 + 9 Acquisition of Financial Assets ( +) or Borrowing (-)* + 111 +355 -166 -554 Source: National Income Blue Book, 1959. * This final item includes investment abroad, i.e. companies may be increasing overseas investment rather than accumulating financial assets. The contrast between the two sectors is extreme. The public corporations had a large deficit after allowing for depreciation, calculated at replacement- cost, and a much larger one after allowing for net investment. By 1958 this involved them in borrowing over £500 million p.a. The company sector not only had a large surplus (A. in the Table), after allowing for depreciation, but even after financing all their net investment in Britain. The company sector could finance its total investment programme out of current earnings and emerge with a surplus (additional financial assets). Perhaps we should call this the mixed-up economy from now on. For these two sectors buy from and sell to each other. Deficits and Debts Having indicated the extent to which public corporation revenue falls short of costs of production (and capital consumption), e.g. by £206 million in 1958, the implications now concern us. Firstly, note that this re !t.esents an annual subsidy to industrial and commercia users of nationalised indus y products. National Income information indicates that about 20 per / cent of total sales by public corporations are in fact sales to public corporations, and approximately 25 per cent are sales to individual con-~ sumers; thus sales to industrial and commercial users account for more than half the total and are at least twice as big as sales to individual consumers. This is equivalent to an annual subsidy to such industrial users, 10 NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY therefore, of well over £100 million a year (that is, well over half the true deficit of the public corporations on their current costs of production). But it should not be concluded that higher nationalised industry prices would by themselves, in the absence of price controls within the company sector, significantly reduce company profits and redistribute income. The f conception of an alternative policy has to take into account the complexity of the problem of securing a markedly changed relationship, and distribution of income, as between the two sectors. Secondly, these deficits represent an increased debt burden for these I industries and this does not correspond to any increase in tangible assets. In the case of electricity this problem is least acute since technical advances (especially those arising from economies of scale in power stations) keep down capital costs per kilowatt on new plant; even so, the Herbert Report (Chapter 15) estimated that in 1954-55 the accounting rules followed understated the provision needed for depreciation by £17 million. The problem is most acute in the case of coal and transport. In coal, the annual exhaustion of capacity (which has to be made good if output is to be sustained in the long run) is estimated to be about four million tons a year, costing some £40 million to replace,1 but very little of this has been covered by coal prices. The Growing Burden The debt burden on the nationalised industries mounts swiftly, and in coal and transport has to be carried upon a shrinking capacity. The capital liabilities of the major nationalised industries (N.C.B., B.T.C., electricity, and gas) were about £2,100 million when they were first nationalised. By 1958 they were nearly £5,000 million, and are now well above that as borrowing mounts by over £500 million a year. Already, by 1958, their I I interest repayments per annum were over three times the interest payments due to the initial compensation. In 1949 the interest payments of the public corporations as a whole were £91 million p.a.; by 1958 they had risen to £221 million p.a.; by now the rentier income extracted from the public corporations each year is over £250 million. In the last five years alone the interest charges borne by the public corporations must total a thousand million pounds. On present trends, we should expect the annual burden to be about £350 million by the mid-1960s, and interest payments in the next five years to be about £1 ,500 million. Thus, instead of a re-distribution of income beneficial to the community, nationalised industry pricing has contributed to a rapidly swelling 'prior charge' of payments to rentiers. The surplus income of the companies and I I property owners in the 'private' sector is lent, under state guarantee, to the industries the state has imposed its price policies upon, and becomes a vast debt burden dragging them down. 2 1 Cf. N .C.B.-The First Ten Years, article by Schumacher. 2 Keynes had thought that the euthanasia o! the rentier was a necessity if full employment was to be sustained; with this kind of economic policy, nationalisation gives parasitism a new lease of life. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN' THE MIXED ECONOMY 11 In coal the capital charges per ton produced have doubled since 1956. For transport the capital burden is now openly recognised as intolerable, but not before the finances of the B.T.C. had acquired a lunatic appearance.< With the capitalisation of their deficits, they were even advanced money to pay the interest on the money borrowed to pay the interest on compensation stock and other debt. And on that they will have to pay interest. (If the railways had succeeded in paying it all out of current revenue, they would have been pursuing a price policy economically damaging to the community and wasteful, as we shall see.) Moreover, the consumer who 'benefits' from low prices will bear the burden of higher prices in the future. Supposing that the community's increased demand for power requires a net investment of £200 million per annum. If this is financed out of current prices, the annual investment charge to the community is not more than that in the long run. Suppose such a programme to be financed by borrowing over a twenty year period at 5t per cent or more p.a., as at present, then the long run annual investment charge becomes astronomically high. This is where the Labour movement's crude equation of 'public service' and the 'break-even' rule leads it. In addition, some of the burden may be carried by the workers in the nationalised industries. Rentier, un-earned, income has become a 'first charge' on these industries before earned incomes. This is economically damaging to them in those nationalised industries that face substitutes in the private sector. It is politically damaging to the Labour movement, in that the press can argue a direct conflict of interest between wage earners in the nationalised industries and all other wage or salary earners qua consumers. The growing transfers to rentiers go un-commented upon. The system is therefore politically conservative in its implications. tl > The Economic Irrelevance of 'Break-Even' ' The 'break-even' approach is devoid of validity as a general pricing rule and is, rather, a substitute for a policy related to economic or social priorities For one thing, it has not necessarily been applied to the pricing of each good or service produced within an industry. For another, it mayf be possible to 'break-even' at various levels of output and cost (this was true of the coal industry until 1957). Moreover, the accounting procedures adopted to determine what is 'properly' revenue are at best arbitrary, and as used clearly defective. Nor is there any economic or social criterion by which it can be argued that it is 'best' to finance all net investment ] (however inescapable, given the required development of the economy) by borrowing; even if there were such a criterion it would seem strange to l apply it rigidly in one sector but not at all in another. But there are two other extremely important considerations. Production and use of a given commodity may involve social costs or social benefits (or both) and these may not be measured within the accounting procedure, or indeed accurately measurable at all. As an instance, the social cost attached to break-even pricing of coal in the early 1950s was that it did very little to stimulate fuel efficiency (thereby impairing the balance of payments contribution of the industry) and the inefficiency of fuel use was reflected in the social cost of smoke pollution. Possibly, a sharp 12 NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY general rise in coal prices, and even more likely a selective rise where coal was inefficiently used, would have helped reduce these social costs. At least it would have put a levy on coal use to match the social cost. However, we now face a different situation, in which coal is used more efficiently and the weapon of legislation is stimulating this. The market situation has also been transformed, and coal faces the direct competition of oil as a substitute. The increase in oil imports merely between 1958 and the first quarter of 1960 implies an increase in cost of about £120 million a year. If there is any argument on balance of payments grounds for subsidising agriculture, there are also grounds for limiting the inroads of oil in competition with coal. The considerations of social cost and social benefit have therefore a very different implication for price policy now from that of the early 1950s. But in both situations adherence to average cost pricing ignored and ignores these factors. This is even more relevant to railway finance. Marginal Output Break-even or average £9~ricing_jg!lores the cost of marginal output(as a factor to be considered in pricing. H0Wevef:"W1iere-capital costs areIhigh and capacity is not fully used all the time (this applies to electricity and transport off peak), marginal costs are important. In such a situation they are (taking them here to mean operating costs) lower than average costs. To charge average costs in such circumstances will mean that consumers are charged more than the cost of additional supplies or services; fuller use of the existing capital equipment would occur if consumers were charged a price based on marginal costs. In electricity two-part tariffs overcome this dilemma, more or less imperfectly.1 I railways, the dilemma is not overcome and the existing capital equipment is under-utilised. The'\ ' more the railways seek to recover c::rpiUil charges from higher tariffs to users, the more under-utilisation of equipment occurs. Any first-year economics student can demonstrate the waste of resources involved. At 1 the same time, if additional traffic goes on our congested road system it creates social costs; under existing conditions, if additional traffic goes on the railways it is socially beneficial. The same argument applies to increased )ISe of buses (instead of the social costs involved in urban use of cars). he logic of this points clearly to running both the railways and urban bus services deliberately at an accounting loss; or finding ways of mulcting more heavily the road user who adds to the social costs of traffic congestion and dangc;P Here again, the break-even rule offers no guidance. It is little comfort, watching the L.T.E. continually contracting its bus services and passenger miles carried by cutting services and increasing fares, to know that these services 'break-even' after paying their contribution (£6 million p.a.) to the B.T.C.'s capital charges, and fuel tax and the rest to the government. This is not a 'public service' approach, it is bastardised commercialism. 1 Because they may not reflect the cost of daily and seasonal peaks; there is no compulsion to adopt time of day tariffs, and the load factor doesn't improve. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY 3. Subordinating the Public Sector: Investment and Controls P P RICE restraints and financial burdens are only one aspect of the manifold subordination of the nationalised industries to the needs of a capitalist economy. The process of subordination is seen also in the field of investment policy, in the attitude to substitutes in the private sector/ for nationalised industry goods and services (oil and road transport) and in wages policy. In the field of investment programmes we are becoming accustomed to the 're-phasing' (polite word for de-stabilisation) of public investment pro- grammes to offset economic fluctuations in our 'free' economy. In the absence of effective control over the timing and amount of investment expenditure by business, we have a cycle of underuse of capacity alternating with periods of hectic increase in investment expenditure (accompanied as now by balance of payments difficulties). Economic stabilisation in such a system involves having instability of investment in both sectors rather than effective controls over capitalist business. As we may well be in for another bout of restriction of public investment programmes, it is worth recalling the effects of the last such cut-back, in 1957-58. The comment of the Manchester Guardian's Financial editor at the time was : 'Last Tuesday the chainnan of the Electricity Council complained bitterly about the fetters that hold back what he felt sure were essential and economic projects. In the field of the N.C.B. further cuts seem to have been made ... . One result is that equipment manufacturers will have to spread deliveries against contracts over two years instead of one year . . . . Manufacturers affected by this 'stretch-out' policy complain that it is wildly uneconomic for both sides. Factory lines, if not entire factories, which depend largely on the demand of certain nationalised industries, have to be closed down . . . it may create serious supply difficulties in two or three years' time when contracts have returned to normal.' One can only wonder, supposing restraint to have been needed at that time, whether the 'national interest' is served by such extreme pressure on the nationalised industries in contrast to the background influences supposedly affecting the private company sector? Conservative governments have made investment programmes in the nationalised industries operate in a maze of contradictions, quite apart from periodic 're-phasing'. The slack in the economy in 1952, and the continued low level of company investment expenditure in the following year probably encouraged them to launch long-term programmes in railway transport as well as coaP Later, Mr. Eden's attachment to nuclear power The Labour Government, faced with competing demands for resources, and lacking any long-term programme of economic development, kept down investment on the railways to a mere trickle. Nor did it do anything to expedite a programme of major reconstruction and new development in coal mining. This spending only got under way in 1952/ 53, five years after nationalisation, and eight years after the Reid Report. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY gave us the accelerated and un-economic (and now de-celerated and still more un-economic) atomic power station programme. But then, in the name of competition, both in fuel and power and in transport, the successive Conservative governments have involved both coal and the railways in crisis, and in an economic environment in which no coherent long-term planning is possible. For, as the Permanent Secretary at the Ministry of Power put it, in evidence to the Select Committee on Nationalised Industries: 'The nature of the coal industry is such that the Government has got to make up its mind, broadly speaking, whether it will want so much coal in, shall we say, ten years' time.'l Quite so, and that is exactly what is lacking at the present time. Introducing 'Competition' To advocate 'competition' in the field of public transport and freight haulage is simply to ignore the overwhelming considerations of social cost involved in the present pattern of transport and in its future trends. Apart from the irrationality of railway policy, which we have already glanced at, de-nationalisation of the bulk of the road haulage fleet largely extinguished the possibility of an integrated road and rail system. This was undertaken in face of the Transport Commission's emphasis on 'the gravely disturbing effect which in their view the proposals were likelyto have upon the efficiency of their services, upon their finances, and their staff.' (B.T.C. Annual Report, 1952). 'Competition' may well result in the bulk of additional traffic in the 1960s being carried by road; if this happens it will be directly opposed to social needs. Nor will it be a 'choice' that will minimise transport's call on material resources. Rather, we are likely to be involved in an immense diversion of real resources. In fuel and power, the cry of 'competition' conceals the vested interest of the oil companies in securing a drastic reduction in the use of coal. The balance of payments implications of this have been commented on. Curiously, advocacy of competition did not extend to allowing the importation of cheaper Russian oil (any more than the oil producers in the U.S.A. believe in tariff-free imports of oil). Nor does it extend to atomic power station construction, although The Economist's estimate is that such stations will produce electricity costing 50 per cent more than new coal- fired stations. Nor does advocacy of tariff -free 'competition' extend to industrial products in general. Moreover, how does one explain the curious phenomenon that the decision to convert a number of power stations to oil burning which was taken in 1955-56 in anticipation of coal shortages, actually takes place and is persisted in during 1959-60 in a period of coal surplus? This is already accounting for a reduction of coal use of 7! million tons a year, although it cannot be seriously justified on grounds of cost advantage. True, contracts had been entered into, but these could have been re-negotiated (particularly if the government had suggested that they were reluctant to impose restraints on oil use in the economy, but ...). HC 187-1, 1958. Qu. 43. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ecONOMY Instead of a co-ordinated fuel and power policy we have tbe forced and ( dangerously rapid contraction1 of the coal industry, and a rapid structural shift to reliance on imported fuel. Is it too much to ask whose interests jhave prevailed, whose interests have been subordinated? Wage Restraint If the government has believed in the beneficent process of competition between industries, it has at the same time striven hard to ~e ~ionalised industries instruments of wage restraint. Throughout the nationalised industries, wage questions have been narrowly viewed from the angle of cost of production; the commodity status of labour has, if anything, been enhanced. Operation of the 'break-even' rule has contributed notably to this by making wage disputes turn not on the justice of the case-or if such a word is considered old-fashioned, let us say, the appearance of equity to those concerned-but on an accounting calculation of the price rise any wage increase would precipitate. Behind this was always the political exploitation of the situation by the press. But over and above that has been the direct intervention of the state (departmentally this would seem to have been above all a Treasury policy) with the intention of delaying, reducing, or outright refusing wage increases. Of course, placing the annual wage battle in the public sector has its political attractions for the party in power. The point does not need to be laboured, as it is notorious enough. For instance, in 1958, faced with (potentially) a risk of conflict both with railway workers and London busmen, it was the Cabinet that decided what should be the size of the final offer to the railwaymen. The Economist was even old-fashioned enough to think that the same 'strong' policy should have been adopted in face of the N.U.R. demand for an interim increase pending the Guillebaud Report. It should be said that the latter represents the first attempt at finding some other basis than sheer expediency or Treasury deflationary views for wage policy in the public sector. In the present mixed economy, 'wage comparability' is the best one can hope for as a basis for wage determination, even if it means reproducing the irrationalities of other industries' wage structures in nationalised industry. For the government will not allow these_industti~to_be wage leaders. However, the comparability basis is likely to be a somewhat illusory one. as it is more likely to follow wage rates than earnings (which in most private industries rise faster than wage I rates), and the earnings gap as between workers in public employment and those in the private sector must be expected to widen to the disadvantage of the former. The uncertainty and gloom hanging over the industry are leading to a massive exodus of labour. In the last twelve months nearly 10 per cent of the wage- earners left the industry (that figure is net). 'Wastage' for other than medical reasons, age, or redundancy, has increased dramatically. In 1959 the increase in such wastage was much greater than redundancy and dismissals for men under 41. All the key coalfields meant to expand output are losing manpower rapidly (e.g. North East, net loss 11 ,500 in latest twelve months). The N.C.B. has lost control of the manpower position in the key coalfields. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY The effect of these pressures in the 1950s can be illustrated from available earnings data. I have compared the latest available earnings data (for October 1959) with those for October 1952. The date is chosen because it follows the rapid movements in prices and wages after the Korean war. Between these years, the wage rate index for men rose 40 per cent, and average earnings for men rose 51.5 per cent. During the period none of the public sector industries, for which such information is available, show increases in earnings as high as the average, let alone comparable to those in some major industries in the private sector : Earnings, Men, Oct. 1952 to Oct. 1959 Industrial Earninf?s Index Industry percentage increase -Men Paper and PrintingVehicles 64%* 58 % 119 112 Chemical and Allied 56 % 101 'ALL INDUSTRIES' 51.5 % 100 Electricity Supply 50%* 95 Gas Supply ... 43 % 91 Tram & Bus Service (not L.T.E.) 50%* 90 Coal Mining 33 % 122 * Exceptional increase, twice the average or more, in hours worked. B.T.C. earnings figures are n~ot available on a comparable basis, but it should be recalled that the Committee of Enquiry into railway pay (Guillebaud) found rates of pay on the railways were 8 to 10 per cent below wage rates for comparable jobs elsev.here. A trade union leader who argued, against his members' support for nationalisation, that it would make more difficult the securing of wage increases was perhaps a realist. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN TilE MIXED ECONOMY 17 :l 4. Profits for Private Industry I I T is, on the face of it, an instructive contrast to turn from the emphasis on control and restraint, and general anti-inflationary pressure, in the field of nationalised industry price and wage policy, to the scant control exercised in the ncm a!!i_general handling of contracts. There is no part of nationalised industry activity about which the community knows less -a real failure of accountability here-or should suspect more. One can scan the annual reports in vain for any illumination upon the subject. Were it not for the activity of the Monopolies Commission, the Select Committee's occasional probing, and the rare occasions when complaints are voiced publicly,! there would be very little positive information about these matters. This would indicate, nevertheless, that the Government has not been concerned to exert pressure 'in the public interest' to avoid exploitation. One could go further; by deliberately preventing the nationalised industries from entering the field of manufacture of materials required, the state has prevented one method of overcoming the monopoly power of suppliers, namely 'vertical integration'. In this context such vertical integration becomes a political question because it involves the extension (or contraction) of the nationalised sector. Yet this is hardly small scale stuff. True, contracts given by publicly ( owned industries are only one section of the total flow of government contracts for private industry; as far as I can estimate, about one-half. But in the same decade, 1949-58, whose dismal financial record for the nationalised industries has been made clear, nationalised industries purchased about £12 000 million of goods and services from the privatesector. This was as big an item as their total wage and salary bill during the period. Approximately £8,500 million of this total was made up of purchases from outside the public sector on revenue account, and about £3,800 million on capital accounU The annual rate of purchases from the private sector 1s now in the region of £1,500 million. No Procedures for Awarding Contracts One would think that a government concerned with the national interest would establish certain rules of conduct in handling contracts, especially as any inflation in their cost will be reflected in prices charged to the ' consumers and will be a factor generating cost-push inflation. How strange that we have never beard this annual flow of £1 ,500 million of contracts discussed in this context! How strange that the considerations that lead the Government periodically to resist wage increases, even if this may seem 1 For instance Mr. Gethin's complaints of the B.T.C.'s purchasing procedures which led to the Howitt Report (Purchasing Procedure of the B.T.C., Cmnd. 262). Mr. Gethin had been Supplies and Production Adviser to the B.T.C. 2 National Income Blue Book, 1959, Table 30 and Table 48 are my sources. Revenue account purchases consist of 'purchases of goods and services' less 'revenue sales inside sector'; purchases on investment account of 'gross capi~l formation (fixed)' minus 'sales to own capital account', 18 NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY I I unjust to the workers concerned, do not lead to determined resistance to any unnecessary increase in contract prices! t 1s not that nationalised industry contracts operate within generally understood and accepted procedures, so that in consequence there is no interest in discussing them. Instead, such rules have never been formulated. Nor is any account of stewardship in this respect incorporated in the l Annual Reports. One might expect it to be a rule that Board members and staff should not ave connectionswith contracting firms, but this is not so. Some Area Boardrneri1bers are connected with firms trading with the B.T.C. Similarly, are there no connections between the development of new mining machinery by private firms, and mining engineers employed by the N.C.B.? One would expect that the entertainment of acquaintances and personal relationships would not influence the placing of orders, but we only have the assurance of the Chairman of the B.T.C., which annually places £300 million of contracts, that this does not apply to an abnormal extent_! Nor is it true that contracts are only placed after genuinely competitive tender. Where nationalised industries are confronted by organised monopoly suppliers, the state has not striven to overcome such cartels2 and monopolies. Instead the statutes of the nationalised industries restrict their ability to man~refor themselves. One would think that where state cont"fa'CtS"provide a large and relatively stable part of order books, the rates of profits secured (in the absence of major risks attached) would be low. But the recent flurry of take-over bids in tele-communications should give the lie to that. One would think that, generally, the state would insist on expert investigation of costs, efficiency, and margins, wherever a flow of major contracts is involved. But this is not so. It is not possible to attempt any comprehensive evaluation of the handling of this vast flow of contracts. The veil has been lifted on only a few parts of the whole. Still, what follows may help to indicate the problems. Electric Plant Contracts One of the first studies throwing any light on this subject was the Monopolies Commission Report on 'The Supply of Electrical and Allied Machinery and Plant'. In this case the reference to the Monopolies Commission was received in April 1952. The enquiry took over four years to complete. The Commission explained this partly in terms of 'the unusually long time which at each stage of our enquiry it has necessarily 1 Howitt Report, Cmnd. 262, p. 7. The aptest comment on this is found in Hamlet, Act Ill, Scene 11: Player : I hope we have reformed that indifferently with us. Ham/et: 0! Reform it altogether. 2 Oligopoly and informal collusion between oligopolists largely escape both our methods of monopoly control-the Restrictive Practices Court, and the Monopolies Commission (whose scope the 1956 Act heavily curtailed) -though this is now the typical market relationship in British industry. If anything, the Restrictive Practices Court's work reinforces the tendency to oligopoly and price leadership by stimulating the concentration of control within industries in order to ensure 'disciplined' markets; the cable industry is a very pertinent example, and one relying heavily on public contracts. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY taken some of the principal witnesses to collect information and assemble views' (Report, p. 2). The Report was printed in February 1957. By then the Restrictive Practices Act was on the statute book; no action was therefore taken on the Report, as its subject matter now fell within the scope of the Restrictive Practices Court. None of the agreements examined have however been before the Court. The Monopoly Commission found that manufacturers were fixing common prices despite variations in cost of production; this protected the position of the high cost producers1 and meant very high profit margins for the low cost producers. The manufacturers justified this partly in terms of the high cost of capital investment and research. Central Electricity Authority orders accounted for 80 per cent of the home market trade in major generating equ1Pfi1ent.-The Authority directed its efforts 'towards obtaining either a justificat-ion of the common prices on the basis of disclosed costs or a measure of price competition'. All it achieved was 'some effect' in securing 'some disclosure' of their costs.2 One firm, the lowest cost producer, broke away from the ring to the extent of reducing prices 2t per cent below the ring price in return for the guarantee of a certain volume of orders. As an example of what was happening, the Report showed that profit rates on cost for members of the cartel on large motors and alternators sold in the home market had been 9.3 per cent in the boom year 1937, but were over 25 per cent in 1951 and 1952. The Committee of Enquiry into the Electricity Supply Industry also looked at the question of these arrangements and made the interesting point that the Central Electricity Authority made no attempt to beat the cartel by ordering from abroad. The Herbert Report criticised this interpretation of the 'national in erest' and remonstrated: 'If the Authority, in order to induce home manufacturers to be more competitive, had felt it necessary to make purchases from abroad, they should have ascertained the policy of the Government by approach to the Minister. We understand that they never did so.'3 Yet not only did this system involve the C.E.A. in paying unreasonable prices; the Authority also asserted that 'in specific instances the system has retarded the achievement of some of its aims in technical matters'. Distributing Income It is worth stressing the interesting implications of such a situation in terms of distribution of income. The manufacturers were charging prices which largely self-financed their expansion. Thus money which the nation-f alised industry had to borrow at increasingly high interest rates to finance investment in electricity supply was also financing the replacement and expansion of capital equipment of the electrical machinery manufacturers. 1 'The manufacturers have advanced the general argument that the least efficient manufacturer whose capacity is needed to meet demand should be able to sell at a price high enough to afford him a livelihood'. Report, p. 253. This looks like the resurrection of natural right doctrine in a novel form. z Report, p. 254. 3 Herbert Report, p. I 15. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY On the one band therefore a growing debt burden; on the other the basis for rapid capital gains for the holders of the equity of the private sector firms. 'Costs of production' in nationalised industries have to stand rr tbree transfers, interest in compensation, interest on additional stock as a result of borrowing to finance growth, and the generation of profit income in the private sector to finance their capital accumulation. We repeat, nationalised industry borrowing financed the bulk of capital formation for such contractors and generated the capital gains of their sbarebolders.1 It is strange, therefore, that even a committee of non-socialists such as that which investigated the Electricity Supply Industry, hesitated to recommend public production of electrical machinery: 'It is certainly not a very practical or economical proposition at the present time for the Central Electricity Authority to undertake the manufacture of this very complicated engineering equipment, which would require investment in plant and buildings on a huge scale and the recruitment of skilled labour now fully engaged.' (p.l14) •This proposition is nowhere justified in the Herbert Report; as a continuous flow of orders on the largest scale is involved, there is nothing inherently 'un-economic' about such manufacture. Clearly, the Committee were thinking of the Authority starting up additional plant of its own, in which case (as with any new project) there would be initial, but hardly insuperable, problems. This would not apply if key manufacturing firms were taken over. Similar issues arise over the railways' switch from steam to diesel and electric locos. There was a long tradition on the railways of vertical integration, with departments developed to handle construction and manufacture. These, however, are deliberately restricted and hampered in their operation by statute.l) Here, too, the interests of powerful electrical engineering firms prevailed. An industry staggering under a vast debt burden is the source of lucrative contracts assisting the development of the supplying firms-contracts which the Select Committee reports were not commercially justified: 'Their (i.e. the B.T.C.'s) sense of public resonsibi/ityS ... led them . . . to actions which, as a purely commercial firm, they might have avoided. Thus it led them to give British manufacturers the chance of providing the railways' first diesels, when they could have gone instead to the more experiencedforeign makers. It has led them to give, at some cost to themselvesS a 1 In manufacturing, gross profits run at about 20 per cent of gross output; tf this figure could be applied to nationalised industry purchases, it would represent nearly £300 million a year of gross profits generated by such contracts. To this must be added the £250 million of annual interest payments to obtain a picture of the annual transfers to rentier and profit incomes from the nationalised industries. l) Select Committee on Nationalised Industries, Report on British Railways, HC 254, 1960, p. lx. 'By the statutes under which they operate the Commission are not able to enter the export market themselves . . . nor are they allowed to manufacture products which they do not need themselves, except under special licence. These must obviously be factors which have affected them in planningahead for their workshops.' The motivation of such restrictions is equallyobvious! s My emphasis. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY 21 number of facilities to British industry, in the belief that by so doing they were helping the British export trade.' (HC 254, 1960. P. lxxx.) Yet this same B.T.C. is itself by statute unable to enter the export market! Why not a 'sense of public responsibility' about railway workshops? No Competitive Tenders: Hydro-Electricity The Select Committee's scrutiny of the North of Scotland Hydro-Electric Board gives further insight into the handling of contracts. For water turbines, orders were placed with three manufacturers in proportion to their capacity; these had originally been induced to set up plants in Scotland, and this was apparently thought to require the provision of guaranteed markets indefinitely. All orders for this type of plant had.j" been confined to these Scottish manufacturers, and there had been no competitive tendering.1 Similarly, as to the Board's handling of contracts for water wheel alternators: (Q.803) 'All the firms capable of manufacturing water wheel alternators in this country have had a share of our business. We have divided it up as fairly as possible taking into account their manufacturing capacity and how far they do in fact manufacture in Scotland, which has always been a consideration the Board have paid great attention to. 804. I am thinking of firms like B.T.H., Metropolitan Vickers, and General Electric? -They have all bad orders from us. 805. But again, it is not competitive tendering?-No.'~ It transpires that acting 'as fairly as possible' is unrelated even to such / price advantages as might have been secured through competitive tendering (although competition in supplying has been largely absent in this field). The Select Committee recommended a return to competitive tendering, without considering the limitations on competition from the supply side. But the experience of the same Board shows that competitive tendering is not by itself a guarantee of improved contract arrangements. All their main civil engineering and construction contracts were awarded after competitive tendering, but these allowed for increases in cost instead of being awarded on a fixed cost basis. The final cost was far higher than the origina estimates. The Board's spokesman argued that this 'was explained by the rise in wages and materials which have taken place in the interval and which have to be paid to the contractors under the contract conditions.' (Q.881). But this can by no means explain the final cost of such contracts. The Select Committee recommended more use of fixed price contracts but did not look very closely at the rise in construction costs. To illustrate, the costs of the major projects (given in Annex C to Appendix II of the Select Committee Report) are analysed in the case of the four most recent ones listed. These finally cost £12 million ; the original estimates were just under £6 million. The Table that follows shows the increase in cost for each contract and compares this with the National Income data on increases ' in employment costs per unit of output, and relevant prices, over the period of each contract. The National Income figures exaggerate the cost 1 HC 304, 1957. Q.774-802. 2 Ibid., Q.803-805. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY increases involved as they show the rise in costs over the whole period of each project whereas expenditure by the contractors would in the main have occurred in earlier years. COSTS OF CERTAIN HYDRO-ELECTRIC SCHEMES Period from Increase in cost Scheme estimate to (final divided Cost and Price Increases No. final completion by original) (a) (b) (c)* 22 Late '47 to 1952 -t-108 % +21 % +20 % +25 % 24 Early '48 to 1956 + 97% +43% +35% +40% 27 Early '48 to 1956 +176% +43 % +35 % +40% 61 Mid '50 to 1956 + 81 % +36% +30% +31 % * (a) Employment costs per unit of output; (b) Prices of fixed assets; (c) Prices of final output. Note. The increase in project costs is arrived at after reducing the originalestimates by 5t per cent to make them comparable with the figures given for final cost. See Note 2 to Annex C, Appendix 11, op. cit. All that need be added to the material contained in this Table is that the more closely the evidence given by the Board to the Select Committee on this matter is examined, the more inadequate it appears. But such eccentricities in contracting procedure are not confined to the Hydro-Electric Board. The Economist in a recent criticism of atomic power station contracts wrot : 'So far atomic business has been conducted in this country on the principle f dealing out contracts among consortiums as if they were a deck of cards ... there has been no competition. Nor will there be in the future if the Minister of Power is to be taken literally . . . because he has plainly stated that under the o~~ation-a-year policy all the teams will get enough work to keep them bu~ Yet, argues The Economist: · 'there is a wide difference between the skills of the three different design consortiums . . . some tenders are 30 per cent more expensive than others. Since capital cost holds the key to the price of atomic power . . . somethingmust be done to encourage the low bidders to stay in business and encourage the high bidders to get out.' (The Economist, June 25th, 1960) No Competitive Tenders : the Railways In the case of the B.T.C., the Report on the Purchasing Procedure of the B.T.C. found widespread non-competitive tendering, Trade Association price fixing, and contracts placed for what can only be termed 'historical' reasons (e .g. the replacement of the s.s. 'Dinard'1). Some analysis is provided by this report of the scale of contracts placed with monopoly suppliers : 1 For this case, see Howitt Report, pages 37-40, which include Sir Harold Howitt's extremely critical 'findings'. '' NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN' TilE MIXED ECONOMY 23 CONTRACTS PLACED BY B.T.C. H.Q., IN 1955 AND 1956 In £ millions As % of TotaL Competitive ... 119.4 51 % Trade Association prices 74.4 3lt% Non-competitive 41.4 17t % Source : Howitt Report, p. 19. Thus, in the only reasonably comprehensive material on a nationalised industry's contracts which has been published, approximately one half in IJ value of the contracts were placed with monopoly suppliers or at prices fixed by Trade Associations.1 One of the contracts examined by Sir Harold Howitt may help illustrate the environment of contract placing; it concerns v.acuum ake cylinders, and Sir Harold's conclusions on this case were no"t"Particularly critical. Westinghouse, the 'traditional' supplier, were about to be awarded a contract for some hundreds of thousands of cylinders at a price of £30 13s. 4d. each. Although the B.T.C.'s Supplies Adviser pressed for an attempt to obtain cylinders from 'non-traditional' sources, the Supply Committee (in a hurry to get supplies) only agreed that if there were such supplies available they would be used for additional deliveries and not 'in substitution for supplies' from traditional manufacturers. Subsequently, the Chairman of B.T.C.'s Western Area Board approached tbf. British Motor-Corporation, of which be was a director, and they offered to supply cylinders at £21 17s. 8d. each. Westingbouse, on learning of this, reduced their tender price to £23. The B.T.C. finally made a saving of nearly a third of the previously anticipated cost as a result of this competing bid. In this case the influence of the link between a B.T.C. Area Chairman and z the B.M.C. was beneficial compared to Westingbouse's monopoly position. The Report notes that while the B.T.C. were attempting to interest other firms in tendering, Westingbouse 'were approached by various manufacturers who wished to inspect their factories and obtain their "know-how" They not unnaturally refused'. Perhaps it is 'not unnatural' for monopolists to behave like this. But why did not the B.T.C. make it a condition of their placing a bulk order with Westinghouse that they should co-operate " in supplying to other manufacturers information on the production process? 2 In the wider field of public contracts, attention has recently been drawn to agreements between the Post Office and manufacturers, by Pye's takeover bid. Bulk supply agreements between the Post Office and eight manufacturers control the supply of telephone equipment. In three out 1 Earlier the Railway Executive was involved in waste and increased expense from the cartel agreement on cast iron rainwater goods; they told the Monopolies Commission 'they would arrange to centralise their purchases to a much greater extent .. . were it not for the fact that the Rainwater Agreements prevent them from gaining any appreciable advantage in price by so doing'. The generaleffect of such trade association agreements on nationalised industry operationwould be worth investigation. The Monopolies Commission Report on Collective Discrimination quotes another example, Report, p. 71 . 2 Details from Howitt Report, pp. 21-24. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY of the four such agreements there is no provision for tendering by outside firms. The Economist commented: ~ 'In these arrangements competition, in any meaningful sense of the word, seems as scarce as modern telephone equipment is in Britain.' (July 23rd, 1960) These bulk agreements operate within the framework of agreements between the manufacturing firms concerned; over twenty agreements concerning the manufacture of telecommunications equipment are on the Register of Restrictive Practices. The pattern of non-competitive tendering, exclusive dealing, and trade association restrictive agreements would appear to be something more than the exception. The concept of 'public service' seems here to have been transformed into the provisiOn of out-door relief for far from indigent manufacturers. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY 25 5. Accountability and Participation A A S an irresponsible society, we have to be thankful for small mercies. What accountability exists on the part of the nationalised industries is one of these small mercies. This is a subject on which so much has been written that it can be dismissed with more brevity than the less familiar features of economic relationships between the two sectors. From the point of view of the business community, there is little to cavil at in the present arrangements. The Morrisonian concept of 'business efficiency' has contributed to a situation in which the Boards of the nationalised industries are fairly well assimilated in type, composition, and outlook, to the top directors generally. The composition of the Boards has been analysed in detail more than once1 and the preponderance of company directors is a familiar point. In some cases, such as Area Railway Boards, the large firms or chambers of commerce in the area concerned are well represented-a sort of business man's syndicalism. Moreover, the large users of nationalised industry goods and services can exert considerable influence on policy. 2 Apart from that it would be ungenerous of them to criticise the general direction of the economic policies pursued, representing as it does a business man's socialism. When the periodic urge to investigate and alter fife operation of tliestructure of these industries makes itself felt, it is people drawn from large-scale business who investigate and advise-andu they build in the image they understand. The Chairman of I.C.I. investigate§" the structure of the N.C.B.-not vice-versa. The problem is rather that of accountability to the rest of the community, to parliament, to the workers concerned. The processes of decision-taking are remote indeed from the channels of accountability. This is exemplified particularly by the way in which Ministers use informal pressure to secure the policies they desire and avoid the use of formal directives which would involve them in direct parliamentary scrutiny and accountability. n the case of coal there is even an arrangement in which this informal exercise of powers is enshrined in a formal agreement! This Gentleman's Agreement3 that the Board shall not raise their general level of prices without the Minister's agreement, is presumably so-called because it neither rests on statutory authority nor does it make the Minister accountable for what are in fact his decisions. Perhaps the Jack of financial reserves with which the N.C.B. emerged from a decade of coal shortages to face a harsher ' economic climate should be called genteel poverty. The informality of the pressures used and the lack of effective accountability over such decision-1 taking are natural enough as an extension of the processes of decision-/ taking in the world of large-scale business and finance. But it is hardly a 1 Acton Trust, The Men on the Boards; Universities and Left Review, 'The Insiders'; Clive Jenkins, Power at the Top. 2 The annual reports of the B.I.S.F. show evidence enough of that; cf. B.I.S.F. Annual Report, 1957, p. 46 for 'substantial concessions' secured from the B.T.C. 3 See N.C.B. Memo, HC 304, 1957, p. 155, and Minister of Power Memo, HC 187 -I, 1958, p. 37. 26 NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED ECONOMY challenge to the even more complete lack of public accountability in industry and finance generally. Lack of Information The Webbs, discussing nationalisation, called for a sear hlighJ of pub ' lished information. All too often the information published by nationalised industries resembles smokescreen rather than searchlight. I have mentioned before the almost total lack of any information on contracts and their terms. Policy arguments are concealed. The pressures determining the adoption of particular policies are scarcely hinted at. A gloss is put on almost every awkward problem. For instance, the B.T.C.'s Annual Report for 195R could start off: 'The picture of the year 1958 presents a record of substantial progress in all departments of the undertaking, unfortunately marred by a reduction in freightcarryings following the decline in activity of the heavy industries, and by the London bus strike.' Considering that freight train traffic accounted for 60 per cent of railway receipts in 1957, and that its receipts fell by nearly £30 million (over 10 per cent) in 1958, 'unfortunately marred . .. a record of substantial progress' is a curious way of putting the position. This is obvious enough when one adds that freight train traffic (in net ton miles, and in million tons) has been declining since the early 1950s (before, as well as 'following', the 'decline in activity'); and that the railway's financial deficit reached £89 million in 1958. As to 'substantial progress in all departments', London Transport's figures of passenger journeys and car miles have declined since 1951; similarly, the 'outwards' l.raffic from Docks, Harbours and Wharves, has declined precipitately since 1953. We do, of course, enjoy the bogus and degenerate accountability secured by press coverage of nationalised industry affairs. The press normally treats private industry as a 'success' story (the completely uncritical acceptance of the steel industry's own account of itself is noteworthy, but understandable in view of lavish advertisement expenditure); the operations of private 1./ sector industries that are patently 'failing the nation' (e.g. shipbuilding and machine tools1 ) are left in decent obscurity. But if there are price increases in the nationalised industries, these are featured; moreover, price increases elsewhere can be 'explained' as resulting from these. Bureaucracy is featured -not without cause, but not constructively either. We have noted the treatment of wage claims and industrial relations. Not least, the press ./< , sows confusion by attempting an equation of accounting deficits wit inefficiency. Indeed, given capitalist control of the 'mass persuaders', the existence of a publicly owned sector can be used to sow confusion about the nature, role, and likely achievements, of public (as contrasted with private) ownership and control. At least this is likely to be the case in the 1 It should be noticed that expert investigation of the affairs of these industries takes the form of reports by the Department of Scientific and Industrial Research, which are not published, and not even (as far as I can discover) available to the Trade Unions concerned. Criticism and expert scrutiny here-using public resources -operate behind a veil of secrecy. MPs please note. NATIONALISED INDUSTRIES IN THE MIXED . ~NOMY 27 absence of any campaign of socialist criticism of the present role of the nationalised industries, and presentation of a socialist alternative.1 By contrast, the work of the Select Committee on Nationalised Industries (Reports and Accounts) has been of real assistance in probing the processes ~· of decision-taking which have hitherto largely escaped any procedures of accountability, parliamentary and otherwise. Students of nationalised industry have a debt of gratitude to the Committee, which has certainly demonstrated the potential scope and benefits of extending public accountability. It would be an admirable technique also to apply to the Reports and Accounts of all public companies. However, it is at best dissecting past decisions rather than extending our knowledge of living issues. Labour Relations When we turn to labour relations there is not even any such modest achievement to record. After all, even the 'comparability' approach in wage determination means that the nationalised industries -in wages and conditions-are to follow not to lead. Over the whole field of industrial relations, it is the pattern and practice of large scale private industry that has been followed-generally with a time-lag. Formal techniques of joint- consultation have been treated as the essential basis of 'participation' and accountability, following, with a time-lag, big-firm practice elsewhere. Major or exclusive reliance on such a technique is diminishing in private industry, in favour of managerial manipulation of 'group dynamics'. One suspects that nationalised industries will now 'discover' group dynamics and all that. The fact remains that no new forms of industrial democracy have been thrown up in our nationalised industries; there is no change in the basic commodity status of labour and the wage system. The problem of labour relations in the nationalised industries goes back to the choice of the Morrisonian 'business efficiency' model for the public ~ corporation, and the defeat of conceptions of extended worker participation in nationalised industry decision-taking. With this went a general assumption as to the economies of large-scale operation, which does not seem to have been modified by any doubts as to the efficiency of large-scale management. The argument was that this was necessary to achieve integration within an industry, and the provision of specialist services. Con-I _ sequently, centralised administrative and executive structures were developed -( as with transport in 1948, and coal particularly after the Fleck Report2) . 1 The Labour Party's 'review of the nationalised industries': Public Enterprise, certainly did neither of these things. Its architects, who seem to have been descendants of Dr. Pangloss, presumably recognised that, in terming it-modestly -a 'review' and not a 'policy'. It marked a slight retreat from 'break-even' philosophy towards 'self-financing', but in the absence of any other proposals this only accentuated the assimilation to the practice and character of capitalist industry. 2 The Fleck Report, apart from adding additional departments to the structure, Iecommended the systematic development of a level of management (Group) interposed between pit and Area. Curiously enough, the Herbert Report, finding the same tendency for an intermediate level of management to be set up between operating unit and Area in electricity supply, reached the opposite conclusion and recommended its elimination, to give operational management more genuinemanagerial authority. There are in fact two directly opposed the